Talk:UFO Crash Recovery
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Just dumping a revised table of probabilities for Power Source destruction on the Supply Ship which reflects the 75% explosion rate found in the executable.
PS Explodes PSs Odds for PS ... Cum. E115 L M R Left L M R Odds Left Y Y Y 0 0.75 0.75 0.75 .422 0.00 Y N Y 0 0.75 0.25 0.75 .141 0.00 Y Y N R 0.75 0.75 0.25 .141 7.03 Note 1 N Y Y 0 0.25 0.75 0.75 .141 0.00 Note 2 N Y N 0 0.25 0.75 0.25 .047 0.00 Y N N R 0.75 0.25 0.25 .047 2.34 N N Y L 0.25 0.25 0.75 .047 2.34 N N N All 0.25 0.25 0.25 .016 2.34 Totals 1.000 14.06
The totals row is the addition of the unrounded values in the column above, not the rounded values as shown. If you add a rounded columns, the numbers are 1.002 and 14.05.
Have no idea how the PS Left Likelihood table is calculated, perhaps someone could fill me in? I spent the better part of an hour trying different combinations with no luck at replicating the values. Once that is known, then the table can be rewritten to reflect the 75% probability instead of the current 70%. --Zombie 09:27, 9 November 2008 (CST)